Player Profile- Doug Martin

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Overview:

With the possible exception of Alfred Morris, the Muscle Hamster was the biggest surprise and greatest value of the 2012 season. ¬†With an ADP of 65, he was the steal of the draft. That isn’t the case in 2013, however. Martin is a guaranteed top 5 pick and is often going as high as number 2. So, can Martin live up to this hype or are we looking at Cadillac Williams 2.0?

The Numbers:

Doug Martin finished the 2013 season ranked in the top 5 of most RB statistics. His 1454 yards on 319 carries averaged out to a tidy 4.6 yards per carry. He also thrived through the air pulling in 49 grabs for another 472 yards. Factor in his 12 total touchdowns with only one fumble lost and Doug Martin earned his place in the discussion of elite fantasy backs.

2013 Analysis:

So, Doug Martin has to be a lock fantasy stud in 2013, right? As Lee Corso often says, “Not so fast my friend!”. A quick look at his per game numbers paints a slightly different story. There were 4 games in which Martin scored single digit fantasy points. Only 5 times did he rush for over 100 yards in a game. Take away his 251 yard 4 TD performance against Oakland and Martin’s season totals look a little more human. Now, don’t get me wrong, I believe that Martin is a top 10 back in 2013. I just can’t take the risk of drafting him with a top 5 selection.

2013 Prediction:

1,200 yards rushing 9 TDs

550 yards receiving 4 TDs

Final Rank among RBs: 9th

 

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